HY default rate will fall this year, rise next – Moody’s

08 Nov 2011

The global corporate default rate for speculative grade issuers edged 10bp higher to 1.9% in October, according to Moody’s. This is far below last year’s global rate of 3.8% in October. For the end of the year Moody’s forecasts another fall to 1.4%.

October’s slightly higher rate reflects the defaults of Greek glass maker Yioula Glassworks and three companies in Ireland which have conducted distressed exchanges on their junior debt only. These defaults occurred some time ago, but in September were included in the investment grade default count. Their senior ...

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