Commerzbank sees covered contraction

In contrast to most other research teams, which are predicting unchanged or higher covered bond primary volumes next year, analysts at Commerzbank expect gross supply to decline.

  • By Bill Thornhill
  • 20 Nov 2017

€108.75bn of covered bonds have been issued year-to-date, including taps, according to the analysts, and with gross supply forecast at €100bn, issuance will fall by about €10bn.

However, with benchmark redemptions falling from €121bn this year to €88bn next year, net issuance is set to expand by €12bn, assuming ...

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Bookrunners of Global Covered Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 HSBC 11,789.48 61 6.03%
2 UniCredit 9,672.56 77 4.94%
3 BNP Paribas 9,051.42 45 4.63%
4 Commerzbank Group 8,371.43 55 4.28%
5 LBBW 8,276.69 51 4.23%

Bookrunners of Global FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Morgan Stanley 105,250.27 441 6.82%
2 Citi 98,660.81 571 6.39%
3 Goldman Sachs 95,673.87 531 6.20%
4 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 93,136.34 403 6.03%
5 JPMorgan 88,684.81 426 5.75%

Bookrunners of Dollar Denominated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Citi 84,201.33 440 10.76%
2 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 75,241.97 344 9.62%
3 Morgan Stanley 74,178.45 327 9.48%
4 JPMorgan 74,072.86 330 9.47%
5 Goldman Sachs 73,760.37 449 9.43%

Bookrunners of Euro Denominated Covered Bond Above €500m

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 BNP Paribas 5,645.35 19 6.27%
2 Credit Agricole CIB 5,608.30 21 6.23%
3 LBBW 5,605.63 20 6.23%
4 SG Corporate & Investment Banking 5,543.24 22 6.16%
5 Commerzbank Group 4,949.16 20 5.50%

Global FIG Revenue

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • 02 May 2016
1 Morgan Stanley 365.83 497 7.62%
2 JPMorgan 332.66 618 6.92%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 299.89 590 6.24%
4 Goldman Sachs 276.71 375 5.76%
5 Citi 264.54 592 5.51%

Bookrunners of European Subordinated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount €m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Barclays 9,461.63 27 12.16%
2 HSBC 9,214.48 38 11.84%
3 BNP Paribas 6,278.15 28 8.07%
4 Citi 4,542.03 36 5.84%
5 Credit Suisse 4,325.15 22 5.56%