RMB round-up: HK renminbi deposits keep falling, MRF’s bad month, Stock Connect attracts foreign investors

In this round-up, Hong Kong’s RMB deposits dropped to a near six-year low, the Mutual Recognition of Funds scheme saw meagre flows to Mainland and Hong Kong funds, and the Stock Connect had a surge in net purchases in February. Plus, a recap of our stories this week.

  • By Paolo Danese
  • 03 Mar 2017
Email a colleague
Request a PDF

Key developments this week:



FX:

  • Donald Trump's speech to a unified congress on February 28 sent the dollar index higher through the week, with the RMB receding. The dollar fix by PBoC came in at 6.8896 on Friday, down 87bp on a day earlier, and the lowest since February 13. The spot markets saw the spread between onshore RMB (CNY) and offshore RMB (CNH) narrow. The CNY was down 0.26% to 6.8997, and the CNH was down 0.13% to 6.8943, as of 10:30am Hong Kong time, according to Wind data.
  • The dollar index was trading slightly lower at 102.08, after reaching a new high of 102.14 on March 2. The Thomson Reuters CNY reference index, meanwhile, closed at 95.21 on March 2, up 0.4% in the week. CFETS said that its trade-weighted index had closed in February at 93.84, retreating by 0.4% compared to a month earlier. The BIS basket and the special drawing rights basket, meanwhile, stood at 95.10 and 95.79, down 0.48% and up 0.46%, respectively.

Hubs:


  • The Taiwan Futures Exchange saw an uptick in trading of RMB options and futures. USDCNH options saw daily average contracts traded nearly triple to 442 in February 2017, while futures nearly doubled to 112 per day.
  • There seems to be no bottom to the draining of Hong Kong's RMB deposits base. Total RMB deposits fell a further 4.6% in January to Rmb522.5bn ($75.6bn), the lowest level since April 2011. RMB-denominated cross-border trade settlement in Hong Kong also suffered another 5.8% drop to Rmb271bn in the same month, a four-year low.
  • Flows under the Mutual Recognition of Funds scheme were slow in January 2017. Mainland fund sales in Hong Kong saw overall net sales fall from Rmb9.6bn to Rmb9.4bn. Meanwhile, Hong Kong fund sales in China were also lacklustre, with net overall sales falling 3.8% to Rmb748.6bn in the same month.


Equities:

  • FTSE Russell added two new A-shares, namely Bank of Shanghai and China United Network Communications, to its FTSE China A50 Index, and removed Daqin Railway and Shanghai RAAS Blood Products, the firm said on March 1. The index provider noted that almost 60% of assets under management for ETFs covering China track a FTSE China index. The FTSE China A50 Index covers the 50 largest A-share companies in China.
  • The Stock Connect scheme has seen a revival in northbound flows in recent weeks. In February, net purchases on the Shanghai channel amounted to Rmb16.2bn, and Rmb12.1bn on the Shenzhen link. The 28.3bn total comes after a weak January, where Shanghai Connect saw net sales of Rmb41m and Shenzhen Connect just Rmb676m in net purchases.

Bonds:

  • The Chinese bond market saw market capitalisation fall for the fourth straight month to Rmb44.056tr in February, according to CEIC data. China treasury bonds continued to see selling, as yields fell to 2.62% on March 2 from 2.48% a month earlier. Foreign banks were among those cutting down on China government bond exposures, with total holdings falling 4.9% to Rmb190.6bn. However, foreign banks also increased their holdings of policy and enterprise bonds, with the former seeing holdings rise 6% to Rmb115.6bn and the latter category seeing a 14.5% monthly increase to Rmb393m.

Chart of the week:

China DBS COTW 500px
Source: DBS.

  • By Paolo Danese
  • 03 Mar 2017

GlobalRMB Panda Bonds league table

Rank Arranger Share % by Volume
1 China Merchants Securities Co 21.76
2 Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) 15.11
2 CITIC Securities 15.11
4 China CITIC Bank Corp 13.60
5 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) 10.58

Panda Bond Database

Pricing Date Issuer Country Size Rmb (m)
1 26-Apr-18 Global Logistic Properties via Iowa China Offshore Holdings Hong Kong 1,500
2 26-Apr-18 Trafigura Singapore 500
3 23-Apr-18 CAR Inc Hong Kong 730
4 11-Apr-18 China Jinmao Holdings China 3,000
5 11-Apr-18 Global Logistic Properties via Iowa China Offshore Holdings Hong Kong 1,200

Offshore RMB Bond Top Bookrunners

Rank Bookrunner Share % by Volume
1 Standard Chartered Bank 33.22
2 HSBC 15.79
3 Bank of Taiwan 5.04
3 Cathay United Bank 5.04
5 Societe Generale Securities Services 4.37

Latest Offshore RMB Bonds

Pricing Date Issuer Country Size Rmb (m)
1 04-May-18 Busan Bank South Korea 500
2 27-Apr-18 Central American Bank for Economic Integration (CABEI) Honduras 2,000
3 24-Apr-18 CAR Inc China 350
4 19-Apr-18 Shui On Development (Holdco for Shui On Land) China 600
5 10-Apr-18 Bank of China Taipei Branch (BOC Taipei) China 3,000