The Netherlands

BNP Paribas’s Dutch RMBS, Phedina 2011-1, was fully covered at Friday’s guidance of 90bp-95bp for the two year ‘A1’ tranche and 130bp-135bp for the five year ‘A2’ tranche, with more orders coming in on Monday morning.

Demand from insurance companies and pension funds for covered bonds has increased this year, according to Barclays research, while interest from central banks and asset managers has fallen. Germany and Austria are the only regions where overall investor interest for covered bonds has decreased noticeably, though in some jurisdictions investors have participated far less in issuance from certain countries.

Moody’s cut covered bonds issued by Dutch issuer NIBC Bank from Aa2 to A1, following a downgrade of the issuer’s senior unsecured rating on June 3.

After the activity and drama of the first part of the week, Ascension Day holidays across most of Europe have lent a quiet tone to the market and a more sedate close is anticipated. But with as many as five deals mandated and a few others rumoured, the pace is likely to pick up next week.

Ratings agencies and covered bond analysts have still not reached a consensus over the most efficient way to mitigate against refinancing risk following a segregation event.

Monday was another quiet day for the covered bond market, though syndicate officials remained confident mandates would come. Market participants stressed that covered bonds were not the only asset class where supply was scarce, and were hopeful that as issuers leave blackout and investors become increasingly cash rich, issuance was only a matter of time.

Secondary trading has paused for breath lately, but there are still good pockets of liquidity and interest – specifically for French, UK and to a lesser extent Dutch and Scandinavian deals. The primary market could be due another slow week though a French deal is highly likely, with Société Générale tipped as a probable candidate. UK issuers are looking at the dollar market but there is speculation that one is looking at sterling.

Secondary trading has picked up pace in light of limited primary issuance. An attractive rates environment has ensured continued demand for long dated French paper, while selling has increased in peripheral covered bonds now flat to the government curve.

Taking advantage of scare supply at the long end and a rising yield environment, ABN Amro raised Eu2bn of 10-year funding on Tuesday morning. The transaction was priced well inside guidance on a comfortably oversubscribed book, in which there was little price sensitivity.

Deutsche Hypothekenbank Hannover is set to price a public sector backed Pfandbrief this afternoon, following NIBC’s first public deal which was priced at the end of last week. The book build on both northern European deals has been seamless, despite further volatility and credit rating concerns around peripheral Europe.

The Netherlands NIBC Bank brought primary market activity to a close this week, launching an inaugural Eu500m three-year deal on Friday via leads LBBW, Natixis, and RBS, which priced the new issue at 105bp over mid swaps.

Though primary market activity remains muted, the pipeline continues to grow despite headline risk. A string of mandates for US dollar deals are expected, along with a sterling transaction from Barclays.