Sentiment in the dollar market was much improved this week by a $4.5bn convertible bond issue by Ford Motor Co, the largest such instrument ever launched, and by the surprise announcement from Tyco that it is to split four ways and to buy back/tender US$11bn of debt. Auto spreads tightened by 10bp on the back of Ford's successful transaction, and Tyco's dollar bonds tightened by 80bp-100bp versus Treasuries, its euro bonds by 50bp-60bp and its sterling bonds by 80bp. GMAC took advantage of the warmer mood towards autos by launching $1bn of five year bonds and $1bn of 10 year bonds, while Italy took advantage of a receptive dollar market, increasing its five year benchmark by $2bn to $5bn, making it the largest sovereign dollar deal. Fannie Mae increased its five year Benchmark Note by $4bn. The expected five year global for the Asian Development Bank, though, failed to emerge this week. The deal had been expected at 2bp over agencies via HSBC, Nomura and Morgan Stanley, but unattractive arbitrage reportedly encouraged the borrower to postpone. Freddie Mac enjoyed a warm reception for its Eu5bn five year EuReference Note, attracting a book of Eu8bn as it priced 1bp inside guidance, at 27bp over Bunds. Telecom Italia was the highlight of the corporate market, selling Eu2.5bn of debt split into equal tranches of five and 10 years, but the corporate pipeline looks thin for the coming week. Ecolab will launch its Eu300m five year bond and Suez is also expected, with a Eu1bn issue in five to 10 years via Citigroup/SSSB, Deutsche and Morgan Stanley. Market participants are also awaiting a deal from Teledanmark. A Eu300m issue, rated A2/A, is expected, with initial price talk of 80bp over mid-swaps. And Baa2/BBB rated Carlton Communic-ations is expected to offer a benchmark bond by the end of the month. Several sovereign issues will be launched during the coming weeks. The Republic of Portugal is to launch a Eu2bn-Eu2.5bn 10 year benchmark through Banco Espirito Santo, CAI, Citigroup/SSSB and Deutsche Bank in early February. Cyprus will also be coming to the market. A roadshow is planned for early February, with Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse First Boston. And Sicily has increased its global MTN programme to Eu3.2bn and is planning an inaugural Eu400m deal in the first quarter of this year. In its bid to establish itself as a quasi-agency borrower, DePfa has decided not to issue any more opportunistic deals and will issue two benchmark globals a year. The first is expected for Eu3bn-Eu5bn in February. CCCIF, rated A1/A+/A1, is set to launch a long term euro denominated benchmark via Barclays Capital and CDC IXIS following a roadshow taking place from February 7 to 14. Dexia Municipal Agency has awarded a mandate for its debut 15 year obligations foncières, rated Aaa/AAA/AAA. The Eu750m issue will be led by Barclays Capital, CDC IXIS and Commerzbank. A group is being formed and the deal will have strict market making requirements throughout its tenor. ABN Bouwfonds Nederlandse Gemeenten NV is launching a five year Eu500m floater next week in the 15bp area over swaps via ABN Amro and UBS Warburg. And ANZ will launch a Eu500m five year transaction via JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley. Price talk indicates plus 16bp-17bp to swaps. Findomestic Banca SpA is to launch a euro FRN through Deutsche Bank, which will be sole bookrunner, and Natexis Banques Populaires. The yen market is due for some rare new supply - a ¥100bn plus 10 year global bond for JFM, thought to be led by Nikko Salomon Smith Barney and UBS Warburg. Bankers had expected Merrill Lynch to announce the launch of a 10 year GIC backed sterling deal for AIG this week. Initial spread talk was the high 60s over the Gilt.
January 25, 2002