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  • Germany will remain one of biggest covered bond issuance regions, accounting for up to a fifth of European supply next year. The residential real estate market and economy are expected to remain resilient and, along with robust investor protection built into Pfandbriefe, the market is well buttressed — even when it comes to riskier commercial real estate exposures.
  • Covered bond supply from the Netherlands is expected to lead the Benelux region next year, where a total combined issuance of €9bn is due to surfac,e based on the average of six forecasts.
  • Covered bond issuance from France is likely to be the highest from any country next year, reflecting the sheer size of the market, high redemptions and banks' propensity to use covered bonds for market funding rather than for repo funding at the central bank.
  • Investor demand for higher yielding covered bonds from Central and Eastern Europe will likely outpace relatively moderate supply by a considerable amount. And with a wide range of debut issuers in a considerable number of new jurisdictions expected to surface, the outlook is very promising.
  • Canadian issuers are expected to concentrate on building their regulatory buffers in 2021 mainly with dollar senior issuance with bankers suggesting that analysts’ covered bond supply forecasts for next year, which are considerably above €10bn, are overly optimistic.
  • SSA
    We are finally able to look back over a uniquely stressful year in capital markets. To describe it as unprecedented has become cliché, but it is an unavoidable term when describing the economic disruption the world faced, and the way in which the SSA market responded. Now, with the end of the year in sight, we take stock some of the SSA bond market’s biggest moments of 2020.
  • Capital markets were breathing a sigh of relief on Christmas Eve after a deal between the UK and EU on their future relationship appeared close, ending fears that the country would crash out of the single market without a trade deal at the end of the year.
  • Equity capital markets bankers and investors are finally starting to put their feet up at the end of a historic but tumultuous year. Issuance has been at the forefront of the economic response to the coronavirus after being shuttered by the initial pandemic sell-off with innovation and perseverance ensuring that companies had the funds to survive. In order to mark the end of 2020, GlobalCapital looks back on some of the most noteworthy events and deals.
  • When the year began, the European securitization market forecast a busy year for itself. Issuance levels in markets from synthetic risk transfer to CLOs had broken issuance records in 2019, with the year ahead expected to match if not outpace the previous year's volumes. Instead, the market found itself grappling with an outbreak which would close up issuance for months and set a new course for ABS. Linked below is a collection of GlobalCapital’s best securitization articles of 2020.
  • After a remarkable year, GlobalCapital reflects on some of the most important stories in the bank finance and covered bond markets of 2020.
  • The V20 group of finance ministers from countries especially vulnerable to climate change has prepared a Climate Prosperity Plan — analogous to a green new deal — which it hopes will help member countries devise 10 year investment plans to recover from Covid-19 while becoming more climate-resilient.
  • Talks between the EU and the UK over their are future trading look to be coming to a head before the latter reaches the end of its transition agreement with the former on December 31. If the two can strike a deal, UK capital markets will be the first to feel the positive effects. Deal makers are hopeful of a surge in activity should an agreement be found but border chaos between the UK and EU earlier this week provided a sobering warning.