As traders anticipated euro/dollar spot would climb to parity or higher and implied volatility reached approximately 12.9% last week, foreign exchange strategists were recommending knockouts to various users of fx options. On Wednesday, when spot was trading at USD0.99, Lehman Brothers was recommending a switching-knockout trade, primarily for speculators, which consists of a one-month euro call struck at USD0.995, where the knockout is at USD1.0250 for the first two weeks and at USD0.975 in the following two weeks. The end user benefits in this trade if the euro does not trade at or above 1.0250 in the first two weeks and does not trade at or below USD0.975 in the following two weeks. It is based on the view that euro/dollar spot will first enter a consolidation phase before re-entering its upward trend, saidEric Ohayon, head of fx structuring at Lehman. The upfront premium for this trade is 60 basis points over the reference spot rate, compared with a one-month euro call at USD0.995, priced at 125bps over that rate, he said.
June 01, 2002