A sell-side and buy-side analyst say it is time to begin reducing exposure to high-grade retailers, given the recent strong performance of the sector and the widespread belief that the economy is improving. However, they have differing views about which high-grade retailers should be taken off the table. A large East Coast buy-side firm has begun reducing exposure to high-grade retailers such as Albertson's Inc., Kroger Co. and Safeway Inc., primarily on the view that the names are too tight relative to the rest of the high-grade market. An analyst at the firm has expressed concern that these supermarket chains may take on more leverage a year or two down the road as they become increasingly acquisitive in order to stave off increasing competition from Wal-Mart Stores. Last Monday, the Safeway 6.5% notes of '11 (Baa2/BBB) were 100 basis points over Treasuries, the Kroger 6.8% notes of '11 (Baa3/BBB-) were 120 off the curve and the Albertson's 7.5% notes of '11 (Baa1/BBB+) were 105 off.
June 09, 2002