Italy

European covered bond issuers, along with senior unsecured financials and investment grade corporates, were this week presented with excellent funding conditions, despite a ratcheting-up of pressure on Spain and Italy in the early part of the week.

Fitch has resolved its rating watch on Italian covered bonds, downgrading four programmes to between double-A and triple-B. This round of cuts was driven solely by new overcollateralisation requirements, but Fitch is bringing in a new methodology and could look at Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite (OBGs) again soon.

Moody’s said it is concerned that the rising volume of retained covered bonds is allowing issuers to unilaterally relax standards on their programmes. Italian issuers have lowered collateral requirements and delayed the posting of additional collateral through adverse amendments, said the rating agency. Other jurisdictions, such as Spain, that rely heavily on ECB repo funding are also at risk.

Secondary covered bonds spreads are grinding tighter as buyers faced with negative yields in the sovereign market drive short dated covered yields towards zero. While core jurisdictions wallow in a sea of demand, investors are still averse to peripheral paper, but the wide spread gap could cause Spanish and Italian spreads to bounce back, said bankers.

Italian issuers are dangling close to junk after another round of downgrades from Moody’s. Though OBG ratings escaped unscathed, analysts expect more covered cuts even without further action on the sovereign or issuers. Moody’s methodology allows for flexibility when rating the bonds of low rated banks, but Italian issuers lack the high overcollateralisation of their Spanish peers.

Italian covered bonds face further cuts despite being given a new rating ceiling of A2 by Moody’s. The rating agency has not yet taken its axe to the issuers, and is expected to cut them all by at least one notch, bringing some OBG’s close to the sub-investment grade border.

Italian issuers are braced for another round of covered bond rating cuts after Moody’s lowered Italy’s government bond rating on Friday. The last of the country’s double-A bonds will fall to single-A as a result, leading to harsher regulatory treatment and a reliance on credit investors, said analysts.

Intesa Sanpaolo created two new mortgage backed jumbo covered bonds as part of an exchange offer open to public sector backed bondholders, who also voted to allow the issuer to amend its public sector documentation and make existing rating triggers less stringent.

The senior market took centre stage again on Tuesday, dissuading covered issuers from competing with another trio of unsecured trades after Westpac’s slow bookbuild on Monday. The Australian issuer closed the spread gap with its Nordic peers, but found demand lacklustre compared with earlier Australian benchmarks.

Italian and Spanish covered bonds widened on Monday morning under sovereign pressure, drowning out any movement on Intesa Sanpaolo’s public sector backed bonds as a result of the issuer’s exchange offer. The borrower will exchange public sector covered bonds into new mortgage backed bonds of the same coupon and maturity, after Moody’s downgraded the public sector bonds.

Cédulas from strong names tightened on news that the EU is to provide the Spanish banking sector with €100bn in financial aid. But though the move is supportive for secondary levels, Spanish banks have limited issuance capacity in the short term. In addition, saddling the sovereign with new debt could lead to ratings pressure, and Cédulas ratings would not survive a sovereign downgrade.

The UK’s Clydesdale Bank has finished a domestic roadshow and could launch an inaugural benchmark mid-week after receiving final investor feedback on Tuesday. Australia’s Suncorp Bank, meanwhile, is expected to announce a formal mandate for its own domestic debut later in the week.