France

French, UK and German names were active on Wednesday, continuing the shift away from southern jurisdictions. Lloyds launched its second euro deal of the year and Nordea became the latest borrower to tap the dollar market. UniCredit ensured peripheral Europe was represented, mandating for a Eu500m tap of an outstanding 2017 trade.

The Netherlands NIBC Bank brought primary market activity to a close this week, launching an inaugural Eu500m three-year deal on Friday via leads LBBW, Natixis, and RBS, which priced the new issue at 105bp over mid swaps.

Axa Bank Europe sold its second ever covered bond on Tuesday, a tightly priced Eu500m five year deal.

AXA Bank Europe will price a Eu500m no grow issue at 63bp over mid-swaps later on Tuesday, via leads Bank of America Merrill Lynch, BNP Paribas, Crédit Agricole, HSBC, Natixis, and Société Générale.

The debate around cover pool transparency has once again reared its head after M&G Investments warned that “not all covered bonds are alike and while some are exceptionally strong, the opaque structure of many others could harbour unwelcome surprises for investors.”

US dollar denominated covered bond issuance is set for growth, as demand is far outpacing supply, regardless of whether a US law is put a law in place, and European issuers are lining up deals for launch. Funding executives from many institutions explained their strategies at the 3rd Euromoney US Covered Bond Investor Forum on Wednesday this week.

The absence of primary flow has resulted in a better bid for higher yielding secondary paper. A few large orders have driven BBVA three year paper in by as much at 75bp from launch levels and, with the spread to second and third tier Spanish banks widening, demand has moved down the credit curve. Despite event risk over Japan, there is talk that a French and Spanish bank, not seen this year, could be poised to issue.

Despite widespread market volatility and risk aversion, the covered market has remained active, though distinctly muted. Berlin Hannoversche Hypothekenbank sold a mortgage backed jumbo Pfandbrief transaction on Tuesday, and on Wednesday taps from French issuers CM-CIC and CRH were launched.

Though primary market activity remains muted, the pipeline continues to grow despite headline risk. A string of mandates for US dollar deals are expected, along with a sterling transaction from Barclays.

The primary market has got off to a very strong start, with books building on as many as four deals across four jurisdictions. The transactions, which include two tier two borrowers from peripheral markets, have attracted a total of 440 orders worth a combined Eu8bn. The strong showing bodes well for new peripheral tier two borrowers who are said to be lining up with deals this week.

In what is likely to be viewed as a further positive legal development for the French covered bond market, the decree for Obligations de Financement à l’Habitat was published in the Journal Officiel earlier this week. The new law will have the benefit of being Ucits compliant, say bankers and should emerge at the beginning of April.

The covered bond market remains primed for issuance despite the quietest week so far this year in terms of primary market activity. Spanish borrowers may join Abbey National and Westpac New Zealand in the market next week, though Abbey’s inaugural sterling issue and Westpac’s first covered bond transaction are set to take centre stage.