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Defaulting to dollars in volatile times denies the euro market the resilience it needs
Asset class could be protected by rising demand
Enslaved by interest rate volatility, we are all rates traders now
A corner of the UK market has provided one of the few pain trades so far since war broke out in the Middle East
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Over the last year and a half, there has been a curious dislocation across Europe’s syndicated loan market. Historically, French borrowers could always be found alongside their German counterparts at the very tightest end.
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The bid for peripheral European sovereigns has all the hallmarks of an asset bubble. But in this case there’s an excellent reason to ignore the economic fundamentals and just grab any yield available in sovereign markets while you can.
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The great and the good of the global capital markets descended on London on Wednesday for the sixth annual EuroWeek Bond Dinner. The mood was decidedly upbeat, helped by the record attendance, the magnificent setting of the Guildhall, the buzz around the awards and, of course, the champagne.
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The reputation of securitisation in Europe is seeing a remarkable turnaround. Not only has the market been allowed to shed its dunce’s cap and leave the naughty corner, but many now see securitisation as a crucial to preventing Europe’s faltering economy from going into further decline.
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With Portugal’s 10 year spectacular and strong Spanish auctions kicking off another joyous week for peripheral sovereign borrowers, bankers are daring to wonder if the end of the eurozone sovereign crisis is upon us — or at least whether this is the beginning of the end.
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It was no surprise that when EuroWeek called Moody’s this week to find out what lay behind the decision to junk Slovenia’s rating while it was in the middle of its dollar deal, and to establish who knew the cut was coming, the response was flustered and uninformative. The only thing that Moody’s really seems to have junked is its own credibility.