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Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
Markets are looking to the authorities to simplify blockchain issues, but they may not have the purest motives
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
The possible further internationalisation of the covered bond market will present challenges as well as opportunities
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  • The European Central Bank has finally put its money where its mouth has been for some time on reviving European securitization. But if it doesn’t help banks shift the riskiest tranches off their books, it will have changed absolutely nothing.
  • The European Central Bank’s announcement of a third covered bond purchase programme is destined for failure. The size of the public market for benchmark covered bonds stands at €570bn, suggesting the central bank would be unable to achieve anything close to its €500bn target through covered bonds alone.
  • The International Capital Market Association’s move to introduce more certainty to sovereign restructurings with proposed documentation deserves nothing but praise.
  • The efforts of six or seven European banks to keep the Russian loan markets afloat, despite a worsening outlook, were rewarded this week: Gazprom Neft requested bank proposals on a new five year money loan. But normalisation is further off than ever.
  • European Central Bank president Mario Draghi’s admission last week that inflation expectations are not well anchored has bolstered the prospects for a quantitative easing (QE) programme. But what to buy remains the thorny question.
  • Until you look closely, stress testing sounds great. With the abject failures of the 2011 stress tests fresh in their minds (Dexia has been bailed out twice since passing the test with a 10% capital ratio), the European Banking Authority stress testing teams, and those of national regulators, will pull out all the stops to make the 2014 tests credible.