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Defaulting to dollars in volatile times denies the euro market the resilience it needs
Asset class could be protected by rising demand
Enslaved by interest rate volatility, we are all rates traders now
A corner of the UK market has provided one of the few pain trades so far since war broke out in the Middle East
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Capital markets people thought Brexit would not happen because the UK electorate always chooses the sensible option in the end. But it hasn’t. -
Argentine province Salta paused bond plans this week because of Brexit uncertainty. Don’t expect it to wait long though: overall, global market pain is Argentina’s gain.
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Be under no illusion. A vote by Britain to leave the EU would be a cataclysmic event for the European capital markets. In the worst case scenario — Brexit kicking off a full EU collapse — it could make the horrors of late 2008 look like a picnic.
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The 10 year Bund yield came within a whisker of negative territory this week. While that may be seen as the complete breakdown of everything you ever thought you knew about bonds, for one closely related branch of issuers it represents a golden age.
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One of the cases pro-EU UK politicians make, at least to City officials, against Brexit is that the whole of post-crisis regulation would have to be rewritten from scratch, leaving banks facing years more uncertainty.
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As the European Central Bank finally begins buying investment grade corporate bonds next week, anticipation has already produced remarkable results. But until other asset classes receive its boost, CSPP will not be vindicated.
