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Reforms should focus on banks' access to liquidity, not capital
Issuer has set the stage for peers to return to public market
Green investors buy when everyone else stops, giving issuers one last pricing lever — perhaps to cross a line none of them wants to reach
Investors are still around and issuers can get ahead of the September rush
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The European Central Bank (ECB) is well aware of the fact that €400bn borrowed under TLTRO II will no longer be counted as stable funding from June, so a new financing package is certain to be announced in the next month or two. But issuers waiting for a handout are going to be disappointed by what follows and will be obliged to tap capital markets, just as conditions deteriorate.
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Pacific Gas & Electric has gone bankrupt with $52bn of debt, blaming forest fires that seared California during 2018. Vale, with $11bn, has been downgraded to the bottom edge of investment grade after its horrific dam burst last Friday. -
Spanish telecoms company Telefonica this week became the latest issuer to sell green bonds. The volume of money dedicated to green bond investments meant that there was huge demand and the deal had participation of nearly 50% from green investors. But if those buyers had that much conviction they wouldn’t have waited for this trade.
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The mornings are still dark and gloomy, but the new issue debt markets are full of sunshine. Not only is the market booming but issuers are still paying attention to syndicate advice and treading carefully, for now.
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The shifting sands of bank regulation make it unlikely that it will ever be worth thinking about additional tier one bonds as perpetual instruments.
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Mere mention of the words non-performing and loans together has the power to make markets quake, regardless of whether the details are good, bad or neutral.
