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The Fundamentalist: The gap between futures and reality

It's a myth that markets are good at discounting future events. And as for the advocates of this idea — highly paid economists and strategists — you only have to look at GM or the price of gold to see they get it wrong. Is it time to sack the experts?

  • 01 Apr 2005

Among the more fantastical myths of stock market investment is the concept that markets anticipate events. Essentially the theory is that markets are an enormous, forward looking discounting mechanism.

This concept was wrongly attributed to Ben Graham after the appearance in 1934 of his first ...

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Bond Comments

All International Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
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For detailed analysis: Dealogic
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 228,713.88 1030 8.29%
2 Citi 213,337.62 887 7.74%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 176,887.58 738 6.41%
4 Barclays 165,088.28 679 5.99%
5 HSBC 136,553.94 746 4.95%

Bookrunners of All Syndicated Loans EMEA

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
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For detailed analysis: Dealogic
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 BNP Paribas 27,431.07 110 7.85%
2 Credit Agricole CIB 25,823.81 106 7.39%
3 JPMorgan 21,834.93 53 6.25%
4 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 21,382.31 54 6.12%
5 SG Corporate & Investment Banking 16,786.71 79 4.80%

Bookrunners of all EMEA ECM Issuance

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
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For detailed analysis: Dealogic
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Morgan Stanley 7,509.08 37 9.66%
2 JPMorgan 7,363.27 46 9.48%
3 Goldman Sachs 6,842.44 35 8.81%
4 Citi 5,763.97 41 7.42%
5 UBS 4,691.07 23 6.04%