The Fundamentalist: The gap between futures and reality

It's a myth that markets are good at discounting future events. And as for the advocates of this idea — highly paid economists and strategists — you only have to look at GM or the price of gold to see they get it wrong. Is it time to sack the experts?

  • 01 Apr 2005

Among the more fantastical myths of stock market investment is the concept that markets anticipate events. Essentially the theory is that markets are an enormous, forward looking discounting mechanism.

This concept was wrongly attributed to Ben Graham after the appearance in 1934 of his first ...

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All International Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Citi 276,777.40 1064 8.14%
2 JPMorgan 266,530.47 1166 7.84%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 250,764.41 839 7.38%
4 Barclays 205,469.94 758 6.05%
5 Goldman Sachs 184,785.44 600 5.44%

Bookrunners of All Syndicated Loans EMEA

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 BNP Paribas 35,188.43 145 6.49%
2 JPMorgan 32,762.25 63 6.04%
3 UniCredit 29,291.42 133 5.40%
4 SG Corporate & Investment Banking 28,951.69 110 5.34%
5 Credit Agricole CIB 26,611.53 134 4.91%

Bookrunners of all EMEA ECM Issuance

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 11,195.88 46 9.03%
2 Goldman Sachs 10,193.27 47 8.22%
3 Citi 9,056.44 50 7.31%
4 Morgan Stanley 6,436.97 42 5.19%
5 UBS 6,389.02 24 5.15%