The Fundamentalist: The gap between futures and reality

It's a myth that markets are good at discounting future events. And as for the advocates of this idea — highly paid economists and strategists — you only have to look at GM or the price of gold to see they get it wrong. Is it time to sack the experts?

  • 01 Apr 2005

Among the more fantastical myths of stock market investment is the concept that markets anticipate events. Essentially the theory is that markets are an enormous, forward looking discounting mechanism.

This concept was wrongly attributed to Ben Graham after the appearance in 1934 of his first ...

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All International Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 134,743.10 557 8.28%
2 Citi 127,287.75 499 7.83%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 106,110.85 421 6.52%
4 Barclays 101,992.87 397 6.27%
5 Deutsche Bank 82,349.11 329 5.06%

Bookrunners of All Syndicated Loans EMEA

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 11,525.35 30 7.19%
2 BNP Paribas 8,639.54 48 5.39%
3 UniCredit 8,606.13 45 5.37%
4 Deutsche Bank 8,298.69 30 5.18%
5 Commerzbank Group 7,837.68 40 4.89%

Bookrunners of all EMEA ECM Issuance

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Morgan Stanley 4,430.39 19 11.21%
2 Goldman Sachs 4,006.06 15 10.14%
3 Citi 3,532.95 22 8.94%
4 JPMorgan 2,809.08 19 7.11%
5 UBS 2,241.39 12 5.67%