TD Securities
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One of the busiest days ever in the public sector dollar market ended with five issuers sitting on deals printed at the top end of their size targets and with pricing tightened from initial thoughts. Another borrower is already out for Thursday business and bankers predict that conditions are so “incredible” that deal flow will stay healthy into next week — no matter what policy statements incoming US president Donald Trump makes at his inauguration on Friday.
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The European Investment Bank plans to tap its May 2021 Polish zloty bond on Wednesday, after mandating banks for a deal on Tuesday.
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A quartet of public sector borrowers are set to cram into the front end of the dollar curve on Wednesday, as bankers outlined a triple whammy of factors driving the squeeze.
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As many as eight covered bonds were launched across three currencies this week, the vaguely discernible pattern suggesting better interest for the larger deals with intermediate maturities and particularly those from non-eurozone issuers where liquidity is most likely to be better.
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Public sector borrowers tore $10bn of funding from the dollar market on Tuesday, shaving several basis points from initial price thoughts in the process. Only one benchmark is on screens for Wednesday, but SSA bankers expect next week’s run-up to the inauguration of Donald Trump as US president on January 20 will be — in Trump terminology — “huge”.
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The treasury team at BASF, the German chemicals producer, kept up a high level of capital markets activity on Tuesday as it targeted a debut transaction in the Eurodollar market.
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The Nordic Investment Bank and Rentenbank brought sterling deals on Monday, adding to a busy start to the year for a market that has retained stability despite currency fluctuations around the latest speculation on Brexit.
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Tuesday’s dollar market is set to be packed to the rafters, with a quartet of issuers out with trades and most of the focus at the five year part of the curve.
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Rentenbank added a A$475m ($349.6m) tap to its September 2022 Kangaroo bond, joining the Asian Development Bank and Inter-American Development Bank in printing Kangaroo fives in the new year.
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The dollar covered bond market is in good shape, and it seems likely that issuers will want to follow the success of Bank of Montreal which last Wednesday issued the first benchmark of the year at a cheaper cost and in larger size than its previous deal issued six month ago.