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Agricultural Bank of China could not have come to market at a trickier time: the Hang Seng index has lost more than 10% since pre-marketing for the IPO started, while the Shanghai composite has lost 26% since the start of the year — becoming the worst performing equity index in the world this year.
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Those looking for proof of Asia’s investment banking ascendancy need look no further than the latest revenue stats which show it close to overtaking Europe, the Middle East, and Africa as the second-biggest fee pool behind the Americas.
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A sensible decision, was the verdict among my ECM friends as Agricultural Bank of China resisted bullish temptations when setting the price range for the Hong Kong portion of its IPO this week.
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It has certainly been cheering to see that Asia’s loan market has been holding up well in the face of global volatility caused by Europe’s woes. But — even better — I’m now told by those in the know in Europe’s financial centres that Asian lenders are helping to support loan markets around the world and are an increasingly powerful force in Europe’s loan market.
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I have fond memories of the last round of Chinese bank IPOs, as I’m sure everyone who put their money in will do. So I’m a little surprised the Agricultural Bank is facing so many doubters as it gears up for its own listing.
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Prudential’s failed AIA bid suggests its UK investors have little interest in buying into one of Asia’s biggest insurers. Will Hong Kong’s equity markets feel the same way?