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Let’s not get carried away just yet. I agree, it all sounds rather gloomy out there, but listen to some of the chatter in the Hong Kong Club and you’d think the four horsemen had already been spotted with their landing gear down approaching Chek Lap Kok airport.
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Loan bankers were left wincing this week at the news of yet more restrictions on overseas loans in India. As if those pesky withholding tax curbs weren’t enough to deal with, companies borrowing more than $20m a year overseas will need another approval from the Reserve Bank of India. And they won’t be able to use the funds for domestic purposes.
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Now I love a good conspiracy theory as much as the next man, but I’m usually trusting enough not to pay them too much attention.
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Asia has always been a competitive market. But just when you begin to get the sense that bankers are setting aside old rivalries and congratulating each other on getting tricky deals away, another high profile mandate pops up and the tongue-lashing begins again.
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Is Asia really immune from the subprime sickness? At first glance, the very idea seems preposterous. We’re always told that when the US sneezes, Asia catches a cold — it’s corny and simplistic, but that catchy maxim has held true for many years.
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Asian high yield debt issuers are warming up bond issues for pricing in the next few weeks, though the success of any of the deals will depend on some stability returning to the credit market.