Dollar swap spreads gradually ground down to tighter levels this week, leaving the five year mid-market at about 82bp and the 10 year mid market at 82.5bp by yesterday afternoon (Thursday). Prices were about 5bp wider a week ago. Two year swap spreads came in to a mid market of about 55bp, while 30 year swap spreads closed the week at about 75bp. New issue pressure has been partly, and perhaps chiefly, responsible for the contraction in spreads. At the same time, the underlying market rallied strongly this week after Alan Greenspan indicated that the Fed is quite prepared to lower interest rates again should the US economy continue to manifest signs of weakness. The market had been expecting a more ambiguous statement, and Treasuries moved higher across the curve.
July 20, 2001