Thank God that August is out of the way. That was the view of a very famous UK equities specialist who has been in the City for more than 30 years. In his opinion equity markets and equity trading volumes are, on an adjusted basis for today's expenses and additional employees, the worst since 1974. "Stockmarkets fell faster in 1987 and then in the autumn of 1998," he continued, "but they recovered almost immediately, volumes were good and the main institutions did not hesitate to aggressively buy what they considered to be cheap stock." Is the outlook really that bad? In equities the situation does seem to be dire and the bulge equity houses such as Merrill Lynch and UBS Warburg may have to thin down again if, as seems likely, they are barely covering costs. We are hoping to have a meeting soon with Michael Marks, who has also seen it all during his hugely successful career and we will hang on every word. At JP Morgan Chase, Geoff Boisi has clearly warned that the bank, although not exactly of Billy Bunter proportions and only a middleweight in equities, needs to shed another 15-20 pounds.
September 07, 2001