The US financial markets experienced a reversal this week that resulted in sharply wider swap spreads by yesterday (Thursday) afternoon. The five year was at 64bp over the 3.5% Treasury due in November 2006, compared with 58bp a week ago, while the 10 year was at 65bp over the 5% August 2011 Treasury, compared with 59bp a week ago. The two year is at 44bp and the 30 year is at 64bp. The move in underlying rates has been staggering. The two year Treasury gained 50bp in yield in less than 36 hours from 2.5% on Wednesday morning to 3% yesterday afternoon. Ten year Treasury yields climbed 40bp from 4.4% to 4.8%, while 10 year swap rates settled at 5.42% bid compared with 4.78% only a week ago.
November 16, 2001