The Euro-CP market continues to grow year on year, primarily as a result of greater use by big issuers such as the landesbanks. But one little-mentioned region has also been finding its way into the market with healthy enthusiasm. Scandinavian issuers have been steadily increasing their presence in the market since the second quarter of 2000, and now frequently issue quarterly volumes in excess of $15 billion-worth. This gives the region a bigger market share than both Italy and France, and if it continues to grow at the same rate Euro-CP issuance from Scandinavia will soon overtake that from Australasia too. But just like the market's dealers, the borrowers from Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden are irritated by the lack of regulation in the Euro-CP market. They say if liquidity improved and trades could be turned around quicker, their use of the market would accelerate further. Ten Scandinavian issuers have signed Euro-CP programmes since January 2000, but their migration is most likely a result of crowded domestic markets rather than any explicit rewards from Euro-CP. Sally Vernon-Evans, head of short-term sales at Barclays Capital, says: "The Scandinavian issuers have saturated their domestic markets, and their funding strategies there have been so successful it makes sense for them to try an alternative market." Eksportfinans, the Norwegian export and credit agency, signed its $2.5 billion Euro-CP facility in 1992, and since the beginning of 2000 has issued the highest amount of paper of any Scandinavian issuer - $13.09 billion. It has borrowed roughly the same amount of money in the Norwegian domestic market. Oliver Siem, head of Euro-CP at Eksportfinans, says: "The pricing of these markets all depends on the swap. The Norwegian domestic market can be attractive, but after the swap it is usually very similar to ECP. And as some big issuers started paying higher prices for ECP, some other borrowers had to start paying up too. We've been fortunate as we have other facilities like our US CP programme and last year we used our domestic loan market quite a lot, as it was offering good levels." But not all the Scandinavian countries have domestic markets that they can turn to. Johny Munk, managing director, Euro-CP at Kommunekredit in Denmark, is happy to use Euro-CP as a source of funds, but thinks the lack of choice can sometimes be inhibiting. He says: "There is no real domestic CP market in Denmark. The Euro-CP market generally functions okay, but its disadvantage is that towards the year-end it always dries up. We try not to issue in December if we can help it, but sometimes we have to" This can mean being forced to pay up for funds in the Euro-CP market, unless you have access to other markets such as the US, which Kommunekredit does not. Scandinavian investors are also looking outside their borders, and some say this is where the real expansion is taking place. James Marriot, head of Euro-CP trading at UBS Warburg, says: "The biggest growth from Scandinavia is coming from the investors as they broaden their product portfolios, move further into fixed income and seek to invest some of their excess cash." Issuance in Nordic currencies has not increased recently, but traders say enquiry has been busier in the last six months and that feedback from investors is encouraging. Khe Bergenhill is head of fixed income at Folksam Insurance Group, one of the Nordic region's biggest fund managers. He says: "Euro-CP is not something we are focusing on right now, but as we get closer to EMU it is definitely something to consider." And if investors see the benefits in using Euro-CP, Siem, at Eksportfinans, thinks it could be the push that is needed for same-day settlement. He says: "As far as I can tell all the issuers and all the dealers are ready for same-day trading. It is just a question now of the investors making it final." Scandinavian domestic markets will always be hard to beat as long as investors are happy with their home issuers. But the future holds potential. Vernon-Evans, at Barclays Capital, says: "The ECP market does not compete with the domestic programmes of Scandinavian issuers, however it offers an alternative source of funds that they can be perfectly happy with."
January 25, 2002