Dollar swap spreads crunched lower this week, and the differential between five year and 10 year spreads all but evaporated. By yesterday afternoon (Thursday), the five year spread was 54bp and the 10 year 54.5bp. Two year spreads were around 41.5bp, while the 30 year was 52bp. These levels were not the lowest of the week; the five year had traded as low as 49.5bp and the 10 year had hit 52bp earlier on. Nonetheless, swap spreads have not been this narrow since the summer of 1998 before the Russian debt crisis and derailment of LTCM occurred. Thereafter, swap spreads blew up and were close to 100bp by October.
May 03, 2002