European credit derivatives traders were advising their colleagues at German banks to take it on the chin as the financial crisis in Turkey unfolded last week. German banks, including Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank and Dresdner Bank, are believed to have huge basis risk on commercial loans they have extended to Turkish banks, which they have imperfectly hedged by purchasing credit default protection on Turkish sovereigns. "Sit on it and pray," said a trader at a U.S. bank in London. He noted that if the Turkish banks default without an accompanying sovereign credit event, the German banks could be left with substantial losses. Officials at the three banks declined comment.
February 26, 2001