Chris Mahony, portfolio manager at J & W Seligman, is planning to shift 20% of the firm's portfolio, or $400 million, from higher rated to lower rated investment-grade corporates. He says a stabilization of the stock market, as well as signs of the economy picking up in speed, will trigger the move. In particular, he will look at improvements in factory orders, industrial production and capacity utilization numbers. The rotation will consist of selling triple-A and double-A rated corporates. With the proceeds, he will buy single-A and triple-B names, he says. The anticipation is that, with the economic rebound, lower rated high-grade corporates will rally while the top of the spectrum will have offered its best returns, he says.
August 18, 2002