Bill Armstrong, portfolio manager at Principal Global Investors in Des Moines, Iowa, will swap $504 million, or 7% of the firm's portfolio, from Treasuries and agencies into corporates. He will reduce exposure to Treasuries and agencies by 4% and 3%, respectively. The move will be triggered by a military showdown with Iraq, he says, as the initial reaction to this geopolitical event will be a flight to quality, causing both Treasury and agency bond prices to rally and leading the 10-year Treasury yield to drop to 3.75%. Last Monday, the 10-year Treasury yielded 4%.
January 26, 2003