Thomas O'Connor, portfolio manager at the Montgomery group of Wells Capital Management, says he is considering shifting 10-15%, or approximately $57-86 million of the firm's $575 million short-term fund, out of mortgage-backed securities into agencies. A trigger for the move would be if the Federal Reserve eases to counter the economic slowdown or if Treasuries rally under a war with Iraq, he says. In those cases, lower interest rates would create a high pick-up in prepayments, leading mortgage products to underperform Treasuries, he says. He declined to define a level at which interest rates would be low enough to trigger such move. Another reason for the rotation is that the firm is overweight in mortgage products and has no allocation to agencies.
March 02, 2003