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Covered Bonds

ECB cuckoo displaces real money covered bond investors

The European Central Bank’s gross covered bond purchases sustained strong momentum in November which, in conjunction with wavering supply and high redemptions, caused real investors to be squeezed out — a theme that is bound to continue in 2021.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Covered Bonds

Covered bond ratings to remain stable in 2021, despite risks

The three major rating agencies have broadly positive outlooks on the covered bond market next year, but they have underlying concerns about rising unemployment, mortgage payment holidays, sovereign and issuer rating downgrades and Brexit.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Covered Bonds

Norway to prop up Nordic covered bond supply in 2021

Expected euro denominated covered bond supply from the Nordic region looks promising with Norway likely to prove a particularly bright spot. However, more cost-effective domestic funding in the Swedish market is expected to depress euro volumes there.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Asia

Apac covered bonds find Singapore boost

Singapore could prove to be a rich seam of covered bond issuance next year, with bankers suggesting analysts’ expectations are far too pessimistic. Conversely, Australian issuance may prove to be disappointing. Meanwhile, potential new legal developments in Japan and Malaysia will provide a key focus of attention.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Covered Bonds

Germany to remain a lynchpin of covered bond supply

Germany will remain one of biggest covered bond issuance regions, accounting for up to a fifth of European supply next year. The residential real estate market and economy are expected to remain resilient and, along with robust investor protection built into Pfandbriefe, the market is well buttressed — even when it comes to riskier commercial real estate exposures.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Covered Bonds

Dutch issuers to lead the Benelux pack

Covered bond supply from the Netherlands is expected to lead the Benelux region next year, where a total combined issuance of €9bn is due to surfac,e based on the average of six forecasts.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Covered Bonds

France to lead global covered bond issuance in 2021

Covered bond issuance from France is likely to be the highest from any country next year, reflecting the sheer size of the market, high redemptions and banks' propensity to use covered bonds for market funding rather than for repo funding at the central bank.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Covered Bonds

Solid outlook to propel CEE covered bonds

Investor demand for higher yielding covered bonds from Central and Eastern Europe will likely outpace relatively moderate supply by a considerable amount. And with a wide range of debut issuers in a considerable number of new jurisdictions expected to surface, the outlook is very promising.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
Covered Bonds

Canadian covered bond hopes risk being over-optimistic

Canadian issuers are expected to concentrate on building their regulatory buffers in 2021 mainly with dollar senior issuance with bankers suggesting that analysts’ covered bond supply forecasts for next year, which are considerably above €10bn, are overly optimistic.

Bill Thornhill, December 27, 2020
SSA

2020 hindsight: the SSA market makes SURE

We are finally able to look back over a uniquely stressful year in capital markets. To describe it as unprecedented has become cliché, but it is an unavoidable term when describing the economic disruption the world faced, and the way in which the SSA market responded. Now, with the end of the year in sight, we take stock some of the SSA bond market’s biggest moments of 2020.

Lewis McLellan, December 24, 2020
Equity

Relief in capital markets as Brexit deal close

Capital markets were breathing a sigh of relief on Christmas Eve after a deal between the UK and EU on their future relationship appeared close, ending fears that the country would crash out of the single market without a trade deal at the end of the year.

Lewis McLellan, December 24, 2020
Equity

2020 hindsight: equity capital markets

Equity capital markets bankers and investors are finally starting to put their feet up at the end of a historic but tumultuous year. Issuance has been at the forefront of the economic response to the coronavirus after being shuttered by the initial pandemic sell-off with innovation and perseverance ensuring that companies had the funds to survive. In order to mark the end of 2020, GlobalCapital looks back on some of the most noteworthy events and deals.

Sam Kerr, December 24, 2020

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