Italy

Late on Friday the Bank of Italy published a consultation paper which aims to bring the Italian covered bond framework into line with the fourth iteration of the Capital Requirements Directive (CRD IV), and which could potentially broaden the number of Italian covered bond issuers.

Covered bond investors switched from short into longer dated covered bonds on Monday, secondary market dealers reported, while second tier peripheral bonds continued to attract interest. However, there was better profit taking in multi-Cédulas, which offer a modest spread over government bonds.

Demand was still clearly skewed to the higher yielding peripheral markets on Friday, especially for second tier Italian banks, which offer double the spread of multi-Cédulas. And if peripheral spreads continue to tighten, the newly enacted Italian Obbligazioni Bancarie Collateralizzate, or Italian SME backed covered bonds, might eventually attract interest. But only when secondary legislation has been formulated and come into force which will take time.

Investor appetite has shifted to non-national champions, bankers told The Cover on Wednesday, with the window for issuance wide open for lower rated peripheral banks. A Portuguese issuer could step forward soon, one banker said.

Credito Emiliano’s €750m five year has earned praise for its tight pricing, but it was demand from outside the eurozone, including from Asia and Switzerland, that suggests Italy’s recovery story is gaining traction.

Credito Emiliano priced a covered bond at a double digit margin on Tuesday, the first time in four years that second tier Italian bank has done so. The scale of demand and level of funding illustrated that spreads between peripheral and core markets are reverting to historical norms, and that Spanish borrowers have been shrewd to postpone issuance plans.

Belgium’s KBC Bank and Italy’s Credito Emiliano have added their names to Deutsche Kreditbank and mandated joint leads for deals that should all be launched on Tuesday. Despite the high number of covered bond transactions that will compete for investors’ attention at the same time, the small deal sizes and their diversified appeal should ensure that the trio enjoy a solid reception.

Banco Popular Español was downgraded by Standard & Poor’s on Thursday and, though general market sentiment was clearly more risk averse, with Bonos underperforming Bunds, the borrower’s Cédulas was unchanged after recently being better bid. Meanwhile, Italian covered bonds remained well supported, even as renewed Italian political instability caused BTPs to sell off.

Cash held in segregated accounts for the benefit of Italian covered bondholders, could be bailed in, in the event of an issuer and servicer default, Fitch said on Tuesday, following recent changes to Italy’s covered bond and securitisation law.

There was strong secondary market interest in the long end of the peripheral market, and especially Italian bonds, on Thursday. In contrast, core covered bonds came under greater selling pressure, partly due to switching interest from Wednesday’s deals. The flows were counter-intuitive to the wider macro backdrop, where the flight to safety bid has resumed.

Intesa Sanpaolo brought forward a 12 year deal on Wednesday, after witnessing the extraordinary demand for UBI Banca’s 10 year. Intesa’s book was less spectacularly oversubscribed, but its long tenor should ensure a high proportion of quality interest, boding well for its performance.

The primary covered bond market sprang into life on Wednesday with four deals from Germany, France and Italy. Pride of place went to Unione di Banche Italiane, the only one to have publicly mandated a deal the previous day. It was oversubscribed about five times based on the unreconciled book and may have pushed Intesa Sanpaolo into bringing forward its own issuance plans (see other story).