Finland

Aktia Real Estate Mortgage Bank defied difficult market conditions on Wednesday to build a twice covered book for an intended Eu500m five year trade, which allowed the borrower to increased the deal size to Eu600m. The result stands in contrast with fellow Finnish issuer Sampo Housing Loan Bank, which found the going much tougher on Tuesday for its Eu1bn ten year trade.

Sampo Housing Loan Bank sold a Eu1bn 10 year transaction on Tuesday, which despite high credit and cover pool quality priced at the wide end of guidance. Syndicate officials pointed to a rise in rates and general aversion to risk among investors as two factors that held the transaction back.

Finnish issuers Sampo Housing Loan Bank and Aktia Real Estate Mortgage Bank came to market on Tuesday. Aktia began taking indications of interest on its Eu500m five year trade following Sampo opening books on a 10 year deal, which will be priced later today.

Borrowers from peripheral and core jurisdictions priced over Eu6bn worth of benchmark covered bonds across three currencies this week, which included inaugural deals from Italian and New Zealand issuers. Prospects for supply next week are similarly diverse, though volatility and European holidays may narrow the window for issuance.

As a proxy for national mortgage markets, LBBW research has taken a closer look European mortgage pool statistics and macro-economic housing market trends. Controversially, it finds that Spanish NPLs have halved in the last two years. In contrast Scandinavia, which is stereotyped as safer than safe, could be heading for trouble as house prices reach 30-year highs.

After the activity and drama of the first part of the week, Ascension Day holidays across most of Europe have lent a quiet tone to the market and a more sedate close is anticipated. But with as many as five deals mandated and a few others rumoured, the pace is likely to pick up next week.

Though the covered market was quiet on Friday, market participants can look back on highly successful week in which almost Eu7bn in euro benchmarks was issued. After faltering supply in April UniCredit analysts report that covered bonds are on track for another record month. Issuance thus far in May is almost Eu20bn, less than Eu2bn short of the record total supply for that month.

On Thursday, Nordea took advantage of the flight to quality bid, scarcity of short end Scandinavian supply and sizeable bank treasury and central bank interest to launch and price a Eu2bn three year covered bond backed by Finnish prime residential mortgages. Timing and choice of lead played an important role in attracting top quality Asian demand.

Scandanvian borrowers have joined their French and German core colleagues to take advantage of a market highly receptive to quality issuance. SpareBank 1 Boligkredit tapped the dollar space on Tuesday, while Nordea Bank Finland priced a well oversubscribed three year euro trade on Thursday. Aktia real estate mortgage bank has mandated banks for a series of investor meetings beginning in early June.

During the crisis, the Nordic covered bond market firmly established its credentials as an anchor of stability, with spreads holding firm and borrowers maintaining their access to the market. Since then, continued strong demand for exposure to the region has supported a further narrowing of spreads relative to other core European covered bonds. In the EuroWeek/Natixis Nordic covered bond roundtable, a number of leading issuers from the region discussed the underlying reasons for this strength, and the outlook for the market.

Finland’s OP Mortgage Bank has closed books on the second Finnish covered bond of 2011, a Eu1bn five year benchmark deal, on Wednesday.

US dollar denominated covered bond issuance is set for growth, as demand is far outpacing supply, regardless of whether a US law is put a law in place, and European issuers are lining up deals for launch. Funding executives from many institutions explained their strategies at the 3rd Euromoney US Covered Bond Investor Forum on Wednesday this week.