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If you had to break your toe and then spend two weeks stuck on your sofa under doctor’s orders, and you like football, then you couldn’t pick a better time to do it. Stuart McGregor has euroBlog’s sympathies… sort of.
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Now it gets serious. The shutdown of the senior unsecured bond market is in danger of hitting every financial institution, not just the lower tier credits, and the longer the market remains shut the more investor sentiment is soured.
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The syndicated loan market has put on a show of immunity to the eurozone debt crisis, while the corporate bond has fallen sick. But while security sales will likely be back just as soon as markets feel a touch of stability, there could be long-term changes in store for loans.
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The never-ending back and forth over Greece’s bail-out has put most of the European credit markets in deep freeze. So why then is securitisation so healthy?
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Just as people in the financial markets thought they were starting to put the crisis behind them, a slew of regulatory reports has brought the early days of the crunch back into focus. They make clear that solvency, not liquidity, was the key issue all along.
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Buyers of US dollar interest rate linked structures returned to the MTN market in force this week, with some swap houses bidding aggressively for the business giving a boost to trading.
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Rabobank has taken contingent capital in a bold new direction, eschewing conversion into equity-like instruments for an automatic writedown. But without any regulatory benefit, it is not entirely clear what's in it for the Dutch bank.
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A judgement from a French court of appeals upholding creditors’ rights could be just what is needed to bring securitisation issuers from the country out of the wilderness.
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The Basel Committee has started to publicly worry about a backlash from the industry over its bank capital reforms. It’s a legitimate concern but leaving the hybrid capital market in limbo is not the way for it to win friends.
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UK mortgage lenders and rating agencies have woken up to the threat of £319bn of state-supported borrowing that will need refinancing in the three years from 2011. But pleas for further state aid will likely go unheeded: the securitisation industry has already had two years to put its house in order while the government has its own fiscal problems to worry about.