Tensions revealed last week between France Telecom and Mobilcom, a German company in which it owns a 28.5% stake, will continue to push FT's spreads wider as the two companies continue to duke out their problems through the media, say London-based telecom analysts. "It smells, and in the coming weeks, it's going to get worse," says Simon Surtees, telecom analyst at Bear Stearns. Surtees reckons spreads on FT bonds could widen to as much as 400 to 500 basis points over swaps before the Mobilcom problem is resolved. At some point FT bonds will be a screaming buy, he adds, but it is anyone's guess as to when that will be. As of last Wednesday, FT's 53/4% of '04 was trading at 234 over swaps, compared to Poland's TPSA, of which FT is a part owner, which has a 6 1/8% of '04 which was trading at 217 over.
February 24, 2002