A sell-side analyst continues to see opportunities for total return investors in high-yield consumer products, but a portfolio manager sees the sector as fairly valued. George Chalhoub, analyst at Deutsche Bank and the top-rated consumer products guru on the 2002 Institutional Investor All-America Fixed-Income Team, is maintaining his buy on the sector in spite of recent sizeable gains. Among his top recommendations are Salton Inc, maker of Farberware, the George Foreman grill, and the Scooby Doo shower radio, among other products, and Samsonite. Salton's 10.75% notes of '05 (B2/B) were bid at 97.5 last Tuesday, up from 89 roughly a month ago. Chalhoub says the bonds should trade at 102 or 103. Samsonite's 10.75% notes of '08 (Caa2/CCC) were up to 82 from a 73 bid over the same period. Chalhoub sees the high 80s as fair value for the bonds. "The consumer has not retrenched as much as people thought, and from a credit specific standpoint these companies came into the second half much better prepared for low demand than people gave them credit for--both from a cost standpoint and in terms of inventory management," he says.
December 01, 2002