Finland

Sovereign markets have started to stabilise but covered bonds have lagged this move and remain under pressure in the secondary market. The focus has been on Spain but dealers also reported weakness in French covered bonds. In the primary market, issuance hopes remain dim, though bankers think there may be room for a Swedish or Finnish deal.

The performance of cover pools has deteriorated, Crédit Agricole research has found after examining Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch’s data. But this is not because of worsening credit risk but rather because of market risk.

Covered bond supply was restricted to an impressive €850m tap from BPCE on Thursday, taking the number of long dated French transactions already this year to six.

ABN Amro and Credit Suisse maintained primary market momentum on Wednesday, adding another €2.25bn of supply. ABN Amro paid above initial price thoughts to ensure smooth execution of its 10 year, while Credit Suisse was able to price its five year inside UBS’s offering last week — making it the tightest five year euro print of the year.

Four covered bond issuers collectively raised over €5bn of new funding on Tuesday across two currencies and three tenors. Total issuance this week exceeds €8bn equivalent and on Wednesday a further two are lining up with euro benchmarks. This suggests borrowers will have raised at least €25bn equivalent this year by the close of play on Wednesday.

Having aimed for a maximum €2bn deal, Nordea Bank Finland ended up printing an even larger trade after its July 2017 drew €3bn of demand. The €2.25bn deal, increased off the back of ECB Covered Bond Purchase Programme participation, is the largest Nordic covered bond ever.

The covered bond primary market continues to enjoy good momentum, with as many as four issuers collectively raising the equivalent of around €5bn in the four to 12 year area across two currencies.

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group, Aareal bank and Compagnie de Financement Foncier successfully raised a collective €2.5bn on Monday, opening the way for Deutsche Pfandbriefbank, Nordea and Credit Mutuel-CIC - which are expected to launch and price deals on Tuesday.

Euro benchmark supply will drop in 2012, covered bond analysts predict, despite the product having become the cornerstone of bank funding. Rarely have analysts’ expectations diverged so far, with issuance estimates ranging from €120bn-€190bn.

Moody’s has placed Aktia Real Estate Mortgage Bank’s covered bonds on review for downgrade after taking the same action on the bank’s A1 senior rating, partly due to its reliance on covered bonds as a funding tool.

A stronger than normal bid from Nordic investors helped Finland’s Sampo Housing Loan Bank to sell a no grow €1bn five year covered bond, its second benchmark this year, on Wednesday.

Finland’s Sampo Housing Loan Bank launched a five year deal on Wednesday, three weeks after it finished a European roadshow. The deal attracted a wide range of accounts and looks assured of success, boding well for other smaller bank issuance.