Finland
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Nordea Finland and Sparebanken Vest Boligkreditt achieved the best results among the slate of deals that were issued by core covered bond issuers this week. Both transactions attracted among the highest level of over subscription, despite pricing at the tightest spreads.
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The year’s first batch of covered bond issues have been easily absorbed by a wide range of investors producing comfortably oversubscribed books. The first peripheral deal mandate has come from Portugal and another from Spain is expected shortly.
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Four issuers from Finland, France, Australia and the UK are set to price covered bonds on Tuesday and Wednesday. Market conditions are broadly constructive, especially for higher yielding names, said bankers, but core issuers might have to offer concessions to tempt investors in a busy start to the year.
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The four euro benchmarks that were priced this week are mostly trading slightly tighter in the secondary market, despite being priced with very small new issue premiums. Along with a period of benign macroeconomic news, the negative net supply of euro benchmarks in 2013 has created a particularly supportive backdrop for new issues, according to covered bond bankers.
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Nordea Bank Finland attracted more than €3bn of orders for its five year benchmark on Tuesday morning in what was the first piece of supply from a European issuer since July.
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Commerzbank priced its inaugural public sector benchmark covered bond on Tuesday. The latest issue was another five year, after Aktia Bank and Helaba broke the drought in that maturity on Monday. Despite investors becoming more risk averse, funding officials at Aktia and Helaba told The Cover on Tuesday that the five year was their choice of tenor and said this was not dictated by market conditions.
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Finland’s Aktia Bank mandated leads on Monday for its first covered bond, that Moody’s has provisionally rated Aaa. Despite high quality collateral, the covered bond rating is vulnerable to a downgrade of the borrower.
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The covered bond market is open for almost any issuer and though its unlikely that activity will pick up quickly, there are a number of potential transactions expected in the coming weeks, bankers told The Cover on Monday.
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Covered bond syndicate officials are predicting as many as five deals will be launched next week following a wave of successful core transactions.
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The quiet period for FIG ended this week with a handful of deals emerging in the covered bond and senior unsecured markets. And in contrast to several tightly priced core European deals seen earlier this year, in which investors had pushed back on terms seen as too aggressive, bankers are now reporting a shift in sentiment.
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Core covered bonds are performing poorly, with low coupons putting investors off, according to Deutsche Bank analysts. Higher yielding peripheral paper could benefit as a result, but the prospect for fresh benchmark trades from southern Europe remains uncertain.
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With peripheral concern resurgent, covered bond investors are looking for safety. But having grown tired of exceptionally tight core levels they are also in search of spread. Nordic issuers are best placed to offer them both and should be taking advantage of the primary while they can, said syndicate bankers.