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Additional tier ones couldn’t have reacted any more calmly to the first ever extension of a deal this week, but the market is still a long way from overcoming its ultimate test.
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UBS is re-balancing its corporate finance business to end its reliance on its Financial Institutions Group with impressive results, writes David Rothnie.
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Biofuels have swollen thanks to policies to combat climate change — even though often, they do not help the problem and can make it worse. This is a shocking record, born of ignorance, both accidental and wilful.
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Many of the assumptions that surrounded older iterations of perpetual bank capital instruments are still there in the new class of additional tier one securities.
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The European Central Bank (ECB) is well aware of the fact that €400bn borrowed under TLTRO II will no longer be counted as stable funding from June, so a new financing package is certain to be announced in the next month or two. But issuers waiting for a handout are going to be disappointed by what follows and will be obliged to tap capital markets, just as conditions deteriorate.
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Pacific Gas & Electric has gone bankrupt with $52bn of debt, blaming forest fires that seared California during 2018. Vale, with $11bn, has been downgraded to the bottom edge of investment grade after its horrific dam burst last Friday.
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While banks fight shy of big-ticket mergers, a select group of private equity firms are leading the restructuring of the industry in Europe, writes David Rothnie.
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Japanese banks are unlikely to enjoy any let-up from razor-thin net interest margins in 2019. This is worrying for their long-term sustainability, but it’s potentially a bonanza for DCM specialists in Europe and the US.
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The shifting sands of bank regulation make it unlikely that it will ever be worth thinking about additional tier one bonds as perpetual instruments.
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Mere mention of the words non-performing and loans together has the power to make markets quake, regardless of whether the details are good, bad or neutral.