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Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
Renewables can make Europe’s capital markets less vulnerable to energy price shocks
The market-shutting crisis this spring is very different to that which followed last year's US tariffs
Borrowers from the Gulf region have a track record of remarkable primary market prints
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Cancelling debt, dual interest rates, helicopter money: if the recovery from the coronavirus crisis stalls in the developed world, we will see calls for more radical central bank action. -
The more infectious new variant of the coronavirus has rattled Europe, plunging major economies back into lockdowns. This is already reshaping January’s usually lethargic pace of high grade corporate bond issuance and market participants should expect a frenetic start to the year.
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Financial institution borrowers are expected to concentrate efforts on their more difficult trades at the start of this year, reflecting the view that credit conditions cannot get much better — a prudent approach to funding. But the economic recovery is unlikely to be as smooth as expected, and although central banks stand ready, credit market volatility should revive covered bonds as the rainy day funding product of choice.
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The world is watching full of hope as Joe Biden prepares to take the helm of the world’s most important economy. He has promised to act decisively on climate change, which must include financial reform. There is much worthy work to do — but four things would save Biden a lot of time.
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For years, meeting obligations has been the be-all and end-all of emerging market debt management. Pay your debts, or wave goodbye to international investors.
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If 2020 was all about piling on the debt as governments around the world rushed to save their economies and societies, 2021 will be all about working out ways to reduce it — or at least sustain it.
