South America

Bondholders and analysts said that the Province of Buenos Aires had offered slightly better terms than the Argentine sovereign with its distressed debt exchange, but the offer, for $7.148bn of debt, is still likely too aggressive to gain traction with investors.

Debt capital markets bankers had been hoping for at least two years that Colombian oil company Ecopetrol could be persuaded to issue a bond. When the government-owned borrower finally opted to tap bond markets last week for the first time since 2016, it caught the eye by doing so with oil prices at historic lows, in the middle of the coronavirus pandemic and, unusually for a Lat Am issuer, on a Friday.

International capital markets are facing a reprise of one of their most eerily familiar tales in the next month: the will-they-won’t-they tension of the run-up to an Argentina default, writes Oliver West.

Paraguay continued the relative rush of Latin American issuance on Thursday with a heavily demanded $1bn 11 year bond becoming the second high yield sovereign from Latin America in two days to tap bond markets to fund Covid-19 mitigation.

BNP Paribas has hired from Standard Chartered to bolster its Latin American debt capital markets team, GlobalCapital understands.

Argentina's bonds slipped again in secondary markets after finance minister Martín Guzmán confirmed to local media that the government had no plans to pay $503m of coupon payments due on Wednesday, despite the fact the move had already been widely anticipated.

Aeropuertos Argentina 2000, the operator of 35 airports in the country, is asking bondholders for temporary relief on amortisation and coupon payments as it looks to mitigate the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on its cash flow.

A swift, firm rejection from the bondholder group considered to hold most sway in Argentina’s restructuring negotiations effectively closed the doors on any chance of success for the government’s first offer less than one business day after it had announced terms.

After making investors wait until the end of Friday's trading session that saw a strong bid for its bonds, Argentina finally proposed terms on its mammoth external debt restructuring. With early recovery rate estimates in the 30%-35% range, investors did not even wait until the weekend was over to express their discontent.

Bondholders are expected to fight a formal restructuring proposal from the Argentine government that should arrive on Friday and proposes heavy haircuts, say market participants. Argentina’s government appears ready to play hard ball.

Bond markets handsomely rewarded Peru on Thursday for leading the way in Latin America on economic policy reaction to the Covid-19 crisis, notching its lowest ever dollar funding costs. As Peru’s public treasury director said the deal was to increase already substantial liquidity buffers, Lat Am bankers were left hoping the result would encourage more reluctant issuers.

Argentina’s move to suspend domestic law bond payments for the rest of the year encouraged holders of its foreign law debt, some of who are beginning to spy value in the battered curve.