EIB
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High grade bond markets have made a flying start to the year, defying the expectations of a bear market in fixed income following the end of the European Central Bank’s asset purchase programme and tightening of monetary policy in the US. Instead of the expected cautious tone, investors have been fuelling record order books, big deals and strong performance in the secondary markets, write Burhan Khadbai and Nigel Owen. -
Italy and the European Investment received combined orders of over €50bn in the euro public sector market on Tuesday before what could be an even more uncertain period in Europe, with the UK parliament set to vote on prime minister Theresa May’s Brexit withdrawal agreement later in the evening.
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SNCF Réseau paid a significant new issue premium for its first benchmark green bond since 2017 on Monday. The European Investment Bank will issue its own 10 year euro bond on Tuesday, following trades in sterling and dollars earlier in the year.
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Hopes of a thriving new market for securitizations by multilateral development banks hit a hole in the road in December, when the US Treasury said it disapproved of them and would seek to stop them.
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Public sector dollar issuance has had a slower start to the year than usual — in part because of super strong conditions in other currencies — but SSA bankers are confident the strength of the deals that did come this week will boost the pipeline.
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The European Investment Bank and Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten showed the strength of the dollar market on Tuesday as they sparked the sector into life for 2019 with benchmarks offering minimal concession. Another pair of SSAs are hoping to emulate that success on Wednesday.
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The bond market is well ahead of schedule in its adoption of potential Libor replacements, with several issuers having printed notes linked to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (Sofr) in the dollar market, and to the Sterling Overnight Index Average (Sonia) in sterling. Borrowers are setting strong standards for other participants to take up, as well as adjusting structures to ensure the eventual market is optimal. That does not mean the job is finished, of course. GlobalCapital spoke to some of the pioneers in the Sonia and Sofr markets about their work so far — and the challenges ahead.
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The dollar market for public sector borrowers begins in earnest on Wednesday with a pair of borrowers out with benchmarks and bankers confident the deals will go well thanks to a demand/supply imbalance. The trades follow a small floater tap from a supranational on Monday that was the first syndicated deal of the year in the currency.
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Issuers are flocking to the sterling bond market ahead of the crunch vote in the UK Parliament on prime minister Theresa May’s Brexit deal, which is scheduled for January 14. Issuers are taking full advantage of a parliamentary recess and a break in the political mayhem that saw the vote, originally due to take place last month, postponed due to May's fears it would be voted down. Burhan Khadbai and Tyler Davies report.
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