The Netherlands

Van Lanschot Bankiers is expected to open books on Tuesday for its inaugural conditional pass through covered bond. The first Norwegian deal of the year could be announced soon. Meanwhile Berlin Hyp is on the road with its Green covered bond.

Covered bond supply surged this week with investors piling into deals that offered little new issue concession and negative spreads, leading to concern that an inflection point was at hand. However, there was no sign of investor pushback, with the tightest deals from core European issuers experiencing a high level of demand. But some bankers were left wondering just how long the superb conditions would last.

NIBC issued a €500m seven year conditional pass through (CPT) covered bond on Thursday, the first covered bond from a Dutch bank this year, but the second CPT structure after UniCredit. In contrast to many recently issued bullet maturities, the transaction offered a generous spread.

Covered bonds and RMBS share important similarities which both the European Central Bank and Bank of England acknowledged last year in a discussion paper. As the two asset classes evolve, their vastly different regulatory treatment should become more difficult to justify. A comparison of Rabobank’s Storm 2015-1 RMBS, originated by its Obvion subsidiary, to a forthcoming conditional pass through covered bond to be issued by Van Lanschot Bankiers shows that regulation remains a more important determinant of price than fundamental credit risk.

The Netherlands has become the first country to comply with best practice guidelines proposed by the European Banking Authority last year, and on Thursday the Dutch Finance Ministry had the opportunity to showcase its covered bond regime at the European Covered Bond Council’s (ECBC) plenary meeting in Amsterdam. The ministry took the opportunity to stress the importance of maintaining diversified sources of funding and the need for consistent regulatory treatment between the covered bond and securitization markets.

Covered bonds are dual recourse and backed by a dynamic collateral pool that ensures their highest quality at all times. In contrast RMBS are backed by a static pool, and because the instrument is non-recourse, the issuer in extreme circumstances would probably not be allowed to support the deal. For these and other reasons, the regulatory treatment of Van Lanschot’s conditional pass through (CPT) covered bond is justified as it is a safer instrument than Rabobank’s RMBS, says covered bond consultant Richard Kemmish in response to an opinion piece published by The Cover suggesting the oppposite.

ABN Amro has confirmed that the conditions have been met for it to change the terms of six outstanding covered bonds from hard to soft bullet. However, the required quorum to change terms was not met for two deals and eligibility conditions were not satisfied for another two deals.

Rabobank’s Obvion subsidiary sold nearly €2bn of five year RMBS last Thursday, at a considerable spread pick up to where Dutch pass-through covered bonds from entities with much weaker ratings would be expected to price. The deal, originated by one of the best rated banks in the world and backed by very high quality collateral, suggested that covered bond investors could be missing out by not looking at the RMBS market.

Rabobank’s Obvion subsidiary sold nearly €2bn of five year RMBS last Thursday, at a considerable spread pick up to where Dutch pass-through covered bonds from entities with much weaker ratings would be expected to price. The deal, originated by one of the best rated banks in the world and backed by very high quality collateral, suggested that covered bond investors could be missing out by not looking at the RMBS market.

ABN has followed Credit Suisse by issuing a consent solicitation in which it proposes to change 10 outstanding hard bullet covered bonds to soft bullet maturities.

An updated Dutch covered bond legal framework, which took effect on January 1 this year, brings the law into line with the European Banking Authority’s (EBA) best practice guidelines and European regulations. But, since most issuers already comply with the amendments, the impact is likely to be limited, said analysts from Société Générale’s research team.

New issue momentum picked up in the RMBS market this week as one Dutch deal was priced and another was announced, along with a sterling deal from a UK bank. However, pricing softened as euphoria over the ECB’s purchase programme began to wane.