Can you believe it? MTNWeek is now two years old and we've clocked up 100 issues. A special occasion like this means we can treat readers not only to a crisp white copy, but also to a look at how the MTN has evolved as a species since 1996. For the most part, it has been a growth market. As well as increasing in size, the MTN has also matured, and now stands as a product in its own right. Outstandings have risen from nearly $700 billion at the end of 1996 to stand currently at $1.25 trillion, according to MTNWare. By 1996 there were 687 active programmes (excluding SPVs) in the market and at present the figure stands at 930. In addition, today there are 64 different nationalities in the market, 10 more than in 1996. We've seen the market weather the Asian storm, move towards Emu on convergence plays, embrace new credits and emerging markets, plus currently, tackle the Russian crisis and its contagion. Most surprising of all is the demise of the yen in such a short period. Yen issuance in volume terms has fallen from $50.7 million for the first half of 1997, to $33.4 million for the same time this year. Coupled with this is the reduction in the Japanese investor base. Together they have been the biggest agents of change in the MTN world since 1996. The fact that Japan is no longer a net lender to international borrowers has caused problems, not least of which is the cancellation of Euromoney's MTN conference in Tokyo and the resultant free trip for dealers and journalists. But, as one expert points out, the damage is manageable. He says: "It's a changing market that moves to meet changing investor demand. Japan certainly won't die." One effect of the movements in yen has been the trend of US borrowers entering the Euro-MTN market. Matt Carter, head of fixed income at Credit Suisse First Boston, (CSFB), says: "The influx of US issuers in the last three years was, to a large extent, driven by the significant volumes which they had seen placed in Japan between '93 and '96. This demonstrated that the Euro-MTN market could offer size to compete with the US market, as well as investor diversification." Since the Euro-MTN market was originally modelled on the US market as a flexible funding tool, it's surprising that it now stands above its parent in terms of flexibility, both for issuers and investors alike. Peter Jackson, head of MTNs at Salomon Smith Barney (Salomon), says: "Lots of nuts and bolts have been added to the product over the years that allow for complex trades. It means that the technicalities are taken care of so we can get on with the more interesting stuff: matching investor views with issuers' funding requirements." Last year began with the signing of Irish Permanent's £
July 28, 2000