The new year is customarily a time of enormous activity in the capital markets and, if anything, this week exceeded the usual busy levels. The markets were very volatile, while prodigious amounts of new debt were offered in dollars. Approximately $25bn was launched during the week and much more is in the pipeline. Much of the new supply was swapped, which exerted tremendous downside pressure on swap spreads. At the week's lows, five and 10 year dollar swap spreads were trading at 83.5bp over the comparable Treasuries. It is salutary to remember that in the first week of December, 10 year swap spreads were close to 120bp over the 5.75% August 2010 Treasury.
January 12, 2001