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Securitization Comment

  • Theresa May’s statement today that she will step down as leader of the Conservative Party on June 7 has increased the likelihood that the UK will leave the European Union without a deal, meaning capital markets need to prepare for the worst again.
  • European commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) have enjoyed a revival of late, despite the battering they took during the crisis years. Although regulators excluded the asset class from the Simple, Transparent and Standardised (STS) framework, it has shown that a select band of specialist investors is enough to get by in post-crisis securitization markets.
  • While other central banks have started to grapple with climate change, the Federal Reserve has been conspicuous by its absence. But as green shoots begin to emerge in the US, the Fed will not be able to ignore the topic for much longer.
  • There were widespread hopes earlier this year that not only would Italy’s Garanzia sulla Cartolarizzazione delle Sofferenze (GACS) scheme be extended, but it would also include a provision for loans classified as unlikely-to-pay (UTP).
  • The UK’s new Brexit Bond Management Office is still preparing to issue its first notes, originally scheduled for last Friday. The Brexit-themed Gilts are sized at £36.4bn, equivalent to £350m a week over their two year maturity.
  • Capital market specialists are good at living with radical uncertainty. Just as banks and investors carried on calmly trading US Treasuries through successive debt ceiling crises, they are now displaying similar sangfroid about Brexit.
  • Among the myriad dilemmas tied to managing Libor exposures and the development of Sofr markets, one potential remedy has steadily gained more attention: leave it to the government to fix the problem.
  • As the world has cottoned on to how its dominant role in the CLO market has exploded, Japan’s Norinchukin Bank is apparently under the regulatory spotlight too. There’s nothing wrong with it buying loan exposure by the bucketload, but where it marks that lot might merit close examination.
  • SRI
    The EU’s first piece of sustainable finance legislation sets rules for green investment indices. That is all well and good, but more promising is a hint that all the ordinary indices may have to admit how un-green they are.