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Single asset, single borrower deals drove the US CMBS market in 2025, particularly on New York City collateral as office attendance rose. With interest rates predicted to fall further in 2026, market participants are looking forward to a greater variety of deals on commercial real estate from other cities and sectors, writes Pooja Sarkar
The conditions are set so that 2026 promises to be even better than the already impressive 2025. A deepening of esoteric asset classes, combined with entirely new deal types, as well as more debut issuers are set to be the key themes, writes Tom Hall
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British retail lobbying groups are clamouring for government support as tenants struggle to cover rent in the month since the lockdown began. But market players say help for the sector is unlikely, and CMBS is preparing for widespread delinquencies as the shutdown extends.
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The Federal Reserve on Thursday announced that the Term Asset Backed Lending Facility (TALF) will be expanded to include triple-A rated CMBS and CLO paper as eligible collateral, part of another sweeping set of relief measures to support the economy as damage from the virus pandemic mounts.
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Fitch Ratings has downgraded bonds from three UK CMBS transactions, while also lowering ratings for three Italian CMBS deals, as the sector continues to suffer the effects of the coronavirus pandemic.
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The CMBS market is preparing to face a potential wave of missed loan payments in April, with 2,600 CMBS borrowers requesting some sort of relief in March, according to Fitch Ratings.
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The private label mortgage market fell into the grip of the Covid-19 crisis this week as shocks to commercial property assets and an end to a decade of US job growth put non-agency CMBS and RMBS in jeopardy.
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A loan backing a post-crisis UK CMBS has suffered its second event of default (EOD) in 12 months, after being cured once. The Maroon Properties backing the deal saw a valuation decrease of £17.1m, triggering a loan to value covenant breach on Wednesday.
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The Federal Reserve continued its roll-out of initiatives to support the economy through the Covid-19 crisis this week, including the revival of the term asset-backed loan facility (TALF). However, market participants say the program is incomplete as long as it omits certain asset classes, specifically private label CMBS, and worry that some sectors will buckle without the support of the central bank.
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Around £1bn worth of CMBS deals could be subject to cash traps, withholding payments to certain parties in the transaction, in coming months with the UK in lockdown to stop the spread of coronavirus.
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The US CMBS market, with its heavy dependence on corporate tenants to keep the cash flows to bond holders coming, is being buffeted by the turmoil stemming from the crisis in recent weeks, with the market exposed across dozens of deals to two particularly ailing sectors — airlines and oil and gas firms.