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Single asset, single borrower deals drove the US CMBS market in 2025, particularly on New York City collateral as office attendance rose. With interest rates predicted to fall further in 2026, market participants are looking forward to a greater variety of deals on commercial real estate from other cities and sectors, writes Pooja Sarkar
The conditions are set so that 2026 promises to be even better than the already impressive 2025. A deepening of esoteric asset classes, combined with entirely new deal types, as well as more debut issuers are set to be the key themes, writes Tom Hall
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The collateral pool consists entirely of five-year loans, most of which are on retail and office properties -
Investment firm’s head of structured credit believes CMBS is the ‘most distressed’ asset class
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More issues could follow in market frozen since May 2022
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Solvency II needlessly forces insurers to find back doors into commercial real estate investments
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Transaction backed iconic Hawaiian resort that enjoys high cash flow and faces limited competition
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High interest rates continue to pressure hotel CMBS but assets backing latest $220m deal performing well
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As high financing costs keep borrowers away from the market, the surge in new issuance might be short-lived
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Well-performing assets are likely to get extensions, but office loans will likely see foreclosures
