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Single asset, single borrower deals drove the US CMBS market in 2025, particularly on New York City collateral as office attendance rose. With interest rates predicted to fall further in 2026, market participants are looking forward to a greater variety of deals on commercial real estate from other cities and sectors, writes Pooja Sarkar
The conditions are set so that 2026 promises to be even better than the already impressive 2025. A deepening of esoteric asset classes, combined with entirely new deal types, as well as more debut issuers are set to be the key themes, writes Tom Hall
More articles
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Pipeline empty for August but eyes on Jackson Hole as lower rates could spur September issuance
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Huge looming maturities may look scary, but the CMBS market will chip away at the wall, rather than drive into it
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Conduit deal flow picking up after a first half in which SASB deals had stolen the CMBS show
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Widening 'not as bad as it could have been' as market participants focus on impact of lower rates
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Lower rates will give the market a boost even as other sectors curdle at the prospect of a recession
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Bankers see only mild widening with primary market set to remain busy throughout August
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Lower rates would make refinancing more attractive and may unleash further supply
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The CMBS transaction refinances a Hudson Yards luxury residential tower that the sponsor developed in 2000
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SASB will keep setting the pace, but CRE CLOs could shed their poor reputation