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Single asset, single borrower deals drove the US CMBS market in 2025, particularly on New York City collateral as office attendance rose. With interest rates predicted to fall further in 2026, market participants are looking forward to a greater variety of deals on commercial real estate from other cities and sectors, writes Pooja Sarkar
The conditions are set so that 2026 promises to be even better than the already impressive 2025. A deepening of esoteric asset classes, combined with entirely new deal types, as well as more debut issuers are set to be the key themes, writes Tom Hall
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Higher interest rates and declining cash flows are making refinancing difficult -
Optimism over path of interest rates is encouraging investor engagement, but uncertainties persist
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Office rate now tops 6%, with greater challenges next year
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Three retail SASB deals priced this month, while retail shares in conduits are rising
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Rate peak joy soothes angst over Austrian collapse, but losses will surface
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Forced sales provide pricing data points, but no direct exposure for CMBS
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Sumit Sasidharan will serve as the head of commercial real estate
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Late-year primary, secondary liquidity is higher than usual in US securitization
