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Deutsche Bank predicts $155bn of private sector CMBS
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Single asset, single borrower deals drove the US CMBS market in 2025, particularly on New York City collateral as office attendance rose. With interest rates predicted to fall further in 2026, market participants are looking forward to a greater variety of deals on commercial real estate from other cities and sectors, writes Pooja Sarkar
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By Ted Leveroni, head of derivatives strategy, Omgeo In November 2012, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Treasury Market Practices Group (TMPG) put forward a recommendation for forward-settling agency mortgage backed securities (MBS) transactions to be margined in order to better manage counterparty exposures.
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The New York judge reviewing an $8.5 billion settlement between mortgage bond holders and Bank of America was appointed this month by Gov. Andrew Cuomo to an appellate court, a development that will likely accelerate a decision before she leaves office this Friday.
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Dealers today scrambled to submit bids for the Dutch government’s third and final sale of $2.1 billion in ING’s remaining private-label residential mortgage-backed securities portfolio, but they may be met with more investor hesitancy than the previous sale when they turn around to sell the bonds, according to market participants.
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The rate of Spanish mortgages falling into arrears fell in the last quarter of 2013, according to Fitch Ratings, as the economy emerged from recession. But the rating agency expects house prices will only hit a trough in 2015, with arrears and non-performing loan ratios set to continue rising.
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Large institutional investors in single family rental properties are crowding out first-time home buyers who cannot compete with investors’ cash offerings, according to a letter and report signed last week by freshman Congressman Mark Takano (D-Calif.), who is requesting a hearing into the business.
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European CMBS loans reached their lowest rate of repayment for two years in the fourth quarter of last year, driven by the high leverage and lower quality of the under properties, according to Moody’s.
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The outlook for commercial real estate and commercial mortgage-backed securities is not as bright as the recovery in fundamentals suggests and there could be trouble ahead for the asset class if things continue in the same direction, according to market pros at ABS Vegas.
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One lesson the mortgage industry learned during the recent financial turmoil: documentation matters.
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Securitization professionals should expect long-awaited clarity on Regulation AB II in February at an open meeting of the Securities and Exchange Commission, according to former SEC chair Chris Cox at an industry conference in Las Vegas.