Brazil rallies as investors reassess S&P blow, but IG rating in danger

Brazil and Standard & Poor’s rating actions have a peculiar relationship. In March 2014, S&P downgraded the sovereign to BBB- but the bond market subsequently rallied as the rating agency offered a stable — rather than negative — outlook.
That stable outlook is no more. On Tuesday, S&P said that Brazil’s downside risks had “seemingly risen” since March 23 this year, when it last affirmed the rating. Brazil is now the closest it has been to a junk credit rating since September 2009, when Moody’s became the
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