Cédulas repricing seen, but difficult to profit from

The Spanish covered bond market faces a day of reckoning now that the European Central Bank will be buying a lot less of it leading Barclays analysts to recommend investors look elsewhere. However, others say Cédulas supply is likely to remain limited through the course of next year, and given the market’s "terrible liquidity", executing any trade ideas in the secondary is likely to prove a non-starter.

  • By Bill Thornhill
  • 04 Oct 2018

Since January 2017 Spanish covered bond borrowers have placed five times as much Cédulas with the ECB for repo purposes than they have in the public market. 

According analysts at Barclays research Spanish banks have publicly placed just €7.1bn Cédulas since January 2017 compared to the €35.8bn that has ...

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Bookrunners of Global Covered Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 HSBC 13,951.26 77 5.56%
2 UniCredit 12,833.25 94 5.11%
3 Natixis 11,652.77 67 4.64%
4 UBS 11,388.66 61 4.54%
5 LBBW 11,285.83 74 4.50%

Bookrunners of Global FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 87,198.51 364 6.19%
2 Citi 78,914.26 425 5.60%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 78,244.27 325 5.56%
4 Goldman Sachs 72,613.81 636 5.16%
5 Morgan Stanley 72,232.78 414 5.13%

Bookrunners of Dollar Denominated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 JPMorgan 70,551.16 252 11.08%
2 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 64,880.35 272 10.19%
3 Citi 61,732.00 323 9.70%
4 Morgan Stanley 54,578.23 314 8.57%
5 Goldman Sachs 54,299.46 565 8.53%

Bookrunners of Euro Denominated Covered Bond Above €500m

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Natixis 8,357.33 33 7.02%
2 Commerzbank Group 6,550.39 26 5.51%
3 Deutsche Bank 6,535.71 22 5.49%
4 UniCredit 6,513.66 27 5.47%
5 LBBW 6,441.23 28 5.41%

Global FIG Revenue

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • 02 May 2016
1 Morgan Stanley 365.83 497 7.62%
2 JPMorgan 332.66 618 6.92%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 299.89 590 6.24%
4 Goldman Sachs 276.71 375 5.76%
5 Citi 264.54 592 5.51%

Bookrunners of European Subordinated FIG

Rank Lead Manager Amount €m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 HSBC 7,765.93 22 11.94%
2 BNP Paribas 5,338.58 23 8.21%
3 Barclays 5,124.61 20 7.88%
4 Credit Suisse 4,520.44 16 6.95%
5 UBS 3,976.00 19 6.11%